Species-specific traits mediate avian demographic responses under past climate change

Ryan R. Germain; Shaohong Feng; Guangji Chen; Gary R. Graves; Joseph A. Tobias; Carsten Rahbek; Fumin Lei; Jon Fjeldså; Peter A. Hosner; M. Thomas P. Gilbert; Guojie Zhang; David Nogués-Bravo

doi:10.1038/s41559-023-02055-3

Species-specific traits mediate avian demographic responses under past climate change

Ryan R. Germain^*
, Shaohong Feng
, Guangji Chen
, Gary R. Graves
, Joseph A. Tobias
, Carsten Rahbek
, Fumin Lei
, Jon Fjeldså
, Peter A. Hosner
, M. Thomas P. Gilbert
, Guojie Zhang^*
, David Nogués-Bravo^*

^*Corresponding author for this work

University of Copenhagen
Zhejiang University
BGI Shenzhen
Chinese Academy of Sciences
Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
Imperial College London
Statens Naturhistoriske Museum
Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review

Abstract

Anticipating species’ responses to environmental change is a pressing mission in biodiversity conservation. Despite decades of research investigating how climate change may affect population sizes, historical context is lacking, and the traits that mediate demographic sensitivity to changing climate remain elusive. We use whole-genome sequence data to reconstruct the demographic histories of 263 bird species over the past million years and identify networks of interacting morphological and life history traits associated with changes in effective population size (N _e) in response to climate warming and cooling. Our results identify direct and indirect effects of key traits representing dispersal, reproduction and survival on long-term demographic responses to climate change, thereby highlighting traits most likely to influence population responses to ongoing climate warming.

Original language	English
Journal	Nature Ecology and Evolution
Volume	7
Issue number	6
Pages (from-to)	862-872
ISSN	2397-334X
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-023-02055-3
Publication status	Published - Jun 2023

Funding

This work was made possible by the generous efforts of field biologists and museum staff who contributed samples to the B10k Project. This work was supported by a National Natural Science Foundation of China grant (nos. 32170626 and 31901214) to S.F., an Independent Research Fund Denmark grant to D.N.-B. and G.Z. (no. 8021-00282B) and grants from the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (no. XDB31020000), International Partnership Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (no. 152453KYSB20170002), Carlsberg Foundation (no. CF16-0663) and Villum Foundation (no. 25900) to G.Z.

Keywords

Animals
Biodiversity
Birds/physiology
Climate Change
Cold Temperature
Demography

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10.1038/s41559-023-02055-3

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.08.16.504093v2.full.pdf

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@article{b95d798a69a14caab6d14a684eb9ae65,

title = "Species-specific traits mediate avian demographic responses under past climate change",

abstract = "Anticipating species{\textquoteright} responses to environmental change is a pressing mission in biodiversity conservation. Despite decades of research investigating how climate change may affect population sizes, historical context is lacking, and the traits that mediate demographic sensitivity to changing climate remain elusive. We use whole-genome sequence data to reconstruct the demographic histories of 263 bird species over the past million years and identify networks of interacting morphological and life history traits associated with changes in effective population size (N e) in response to climate warming and cooling. Our results identify direct and indirect effects of key traits representing dispersal, reproduction and survival on long-term demographic responses to climate change, thereby highlighting traits most likely to influence population responses to ongoing climate warming.",

keywords = "Animals, Biodiversity, Birds/physiology, Climate Change, Cold Temperature, Demography",

author = "Germain, \{Ryan R.\} and Shaohong Feng and Guangji Chen and Graves, \{Gary R.\} and Tobias, \{Joseph A.\} and Carsten Rahbek and Fumin Lei and Jon Fjelds{\aa} and Hosner, \{Peter A.\} and Gilbert, \{M. Thomas P.\} and Guojie Zhang and David Nogu{\'e}s-Bravo",

note = "Funding Information: This work was made possible by the generous efforts of field biologists and museum staff who contributed samples to the B10k Project. This work was supported by a National Natural Science Foundation of China grant (nos. 32170626 and 31901214) to S.F., an Independent Research Fund Denmark grant to D.N.-B. and G.Z. (no. 8021-00282B) and grants from the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (no. XDB31020000), International Partnership Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (no. 152453KYSB20170002), Carlsberg Foundation (no. CF16-0663) and Villum Foundation (no. 25900) to G.Z. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.",

year = "2023",

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doi = "10.1038/s41559-023-02055-3",

language = "English",

volume = "7",

pages = "862--872",

journal = "Nature Ecology and Evolution",

issn = "2397-334X",

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T1 - Species-specific traits mediate avian demographic responses under past climate change

AU - Germain, Ryan R.

AU - Feng, Shaohong

AU - Chen, Guangji

AU - Graves, Gary R.

AU - Tobias, Joseph A.

AU - Rahbek, Carsten

AU - Lei, Fumin

AU - Fjeldså, Jon

AU - Hosner, Peter A.

AU - Gilbert, M. Thomas P.

AU - Zhang, Guojie

AU - Nogués-Bravo, David

N1 - Funding Information: This work was made possible by the generous efforts of field biologists and museum staff who contributed samples to the B10k Project. This work was supported by a National Natural Science Foundation of China grant (nos. 32170626 and 31901214) to S.F., an Independent Research Fund Denmark grant to D.N.-B. and G.Z. (no. 8021-00282B) and grants from the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (no. XDB31020000), International Partnership Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (no. 152453KYSB20170002), Carlsberg Foundation (no. CF16-0663) and Villum Foundation (no. 25900) to G.Z. Publisher Copyright: © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.

PY - 2023/6

Y1 - 2023/6

N2 - Anticipating species’ responses to environmental change is a pressing mission in biodiversity conservation. Despite decades of research investigating how climate change may affect population sizes, historical context is lacking, and the traits that mediate demographic sensitivity to changing climate remain elusive. We use whole-genome sequence data to reconstruct the demographic histories of 263 bird species over the past million years and identify networks of interacting morphological and life history traits associated with changes in effective population size (N e) in response to climate warming and cooling. Our results identify direct and indirect effects of key traits representing dispersal, reproduction and survival on long-term demographic responses to climate change, thereby highlighting traits most likely to influence population responses to ongoing climate warming.

AB - Anticipating species’ responses to environmental change is a pressing mission in biodiversity conservation. Despite decades of research investigating how climate change may affect population sizes, historical context is lacking, and the traits that mediate demographic sensitivity to changing climate remain elusive. We use whole-genome sequence data to reconstruct the demographic histories of 263 bird species over the past million years and identify networks of interacting morphological and life history traits associated with changes in effective population size (N e) in response to climate warming and cooling. Our results identify direct and indirect effects of key traits representing dispersal, reproduction and survival on long-term demographic responses to climate change, thereby highlighting traits most likely to influence population responses to ongoing climate warming.

KW - Animals

KW - Biodiversity

KW - Birds/physiology

KW - Climate Change

KW - Cold Temperature

KW - Demography

U2 - 10.1038/s41559-023-02055-3

DO - 10.1038/s41559-023-02055-3

M3 - Journal article

C2 - 37106156

AN - SCOPUS:85153731270

SN - 2397-334X

VL - 7

SP - 862

EP - 872

JO - Nature Ecology and Evolution

JF - Nature Ecology and Evolution

IS - 6

ER -

Species-specific traits mediate avian demographic responses under past climate change

Abstract

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Keywords

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