Discussing issues in uncertainty quantification. The case of geohazard assessments

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Abstract

By making explicit the modeling choices and assumptions made, we analyze some issues in quantifying uncertainty using geohazard models. Under the often condition of very limited data, a major problem is constraining the many parameters involved. We conclude that, despite the availability of recently developed sophistications, the quantification based on these ideal parameterized models can hardly be justified since, e.g., they will only reflect some aspects of the uncertainty involved. This calls for more insightful approaches which are yet to be developed.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationBook of Extended Abstracts for the 32nd European Safety and Reliability Conference
EditorsMaria Chiara Leva, Edoardo Patelli, Luca Podofillini, Simon Wilson
Place of PublicationSingapore
PublisherResearch-publishing.net
Publication date2022
Pages39-40
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022
Externally publishedYes
EventESREL 2022 - Dublin, Ireland
Duration: 28. Aug 20221. Sept 2022

Conference

ConferenceESREL 2022
Country/TerritoryIreland
CityDublin
Period28/08/202201/09/2022

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