Where does political influence go when austerity sets in?

A study of the redistribution of influence on who gets what, when and how when the economy gets tighter

Sune Welling Hansen, Kurt Houlberg, Lene Holm Pedersen

Publikation: Konferencebidrag uden forlag/tidsskriftPaperForskningpeer review

Resumé

Economic crisis is argued to be an opportunity to push through political changes, which otherwise can be difficult to make. Fiscal austerity is likely to change the political agenda and in some cases also the coalitions which can be formed. Based on the asymmetric distribution of preferences between budget guardians and advocates, political influence is expected to move in the direction
of the guardians when the economy gets tighter. However, this claim is difficult to investigate empirically at the national level due to problems of endogeneity and measurement. B, but by moving the analytical level down to the subnational level it becomes possible to make an empirical contribution to the discussion on how austerity affects political influence. We examine the case of Danish local government and make use of a time-series cross-sectional dataset consisting of two independent surveys of elected local politicians (conducted in 2009 and 2013), and combined with register data on the local governments. The results show that political influence moves in the direction of the financial committees and the administration, when the economy gets tighter. The results thus indicate that it is the budget guardians, who ‘should not waste a good crisis to make political changes’ because their political influence is increasing in times of austerity.
OriginalsprogEngelsk
Publikationsdatonov. 2014
Antal sider21
StatusUdgivet - nov. 2014
BegivenhedXXIII (23.) Nordiske Kommuneforskningskonference - Institut for Statskundskab, Syddansk Universitet, Odense, Danmark
Varighed: 27. nov. 201429. nov. 2014

Konference

KonferenceXXIII (23.) Nordiske Kommuneforskningskonference
LokationInstitut for Statskundskab, Syddansk Universitet
LandDanmark
ByOdense
Periode27/11/201429/11/2014

Citer dette

Hansen, S. W., Houlberg, K., & Holm Pedersen, L. (2014). Where does political influence go when austerity sets in? A study of the redistribution of influence on who gets what, when and how when the economy gets tighter. Afhandling præsenteret på XXIII (23.) Nordiske Kommuneforskningskonference, Odense, Danmark.
Hansen, Sune Welling ; Houlberg, Kurt ; Holm Pedersen, Lene. / Where does political influence go when austerity sets in? A study of the redistribution of influence on who gets what, when and how when the economy gets tighter. Afhandling præsenteret på XXIII (23.) Nordiske Kommuneforskningskonference, Odense, Danmark.21 s.
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Hansen, SW, Houlberg, K & Holm Pedersen, L 2014, 'Where does political influence go when austerity sets in? A study of the redistribution of influence on who gets what, when and how when the economy gets tighter' Paper fremlagt ved XXIII (23.) Nordiske Kommuneforskningskonference, Odense, Danmark, 27/11/2014 - 29/11/2014, .

Where does political influence go when austerity sets in? A study of the redistribution of influence on who gets what, when and how when the economy gets tighter. / Hansen, Sune Welling; Houlberg, Kurt; Holm Pedersen, Lene.

2014. Afhandling præsenteret på XXIII (23.) Nordiske Kommuneforskningskonference, Odense, Danmark.

Publikation: Konferencebidrag uden forlag/tidsskriftPaperForskningpeer review

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T2 - A study of the redistribution of influence on who gets what, when and how when the economy gets tighter

AU - Hansen, Sune Welling

AU - Houlberg, Kurt

AU - Holm Pedersen, Lene

PY - 2014/11

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AB - Economic crisis is argued to be an opportunity to push through political changes, which otherwise can be difficult to make. Fiscal austerity is likely to change the political agenda and in some cases also the coalitions which can be formed. Based on the asymmetric distribution of preferences between budget guardians and advocates, political influence is expected to move in the directionof the guardians when the economy gets tighter. However, this claim is difficult to investigate empirically at the national level due to problems of endogeneity and measurement. B, but by moving the analytical level down to the subnational level it becomes possible to make an empirical contribution to the discussion on how austerity affects political influence. We examine the case of Danish local government and make use of a time-series cross-sectional dataset consisting of two independent surveys of elected local politicians (conducted in 2009 and 2013), and combined with register data on the local governments. The results show that political influence moves in the direction of the financial committees and the administration, when the economy gets tighter. The results thus indicate that it is the budget guardians, who ‘should not waste a good crisis to make political changes’ because their political influence is increasing in times of austerity.

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Hansen SW, Houlberg K, Holm Pedersen L. Where does political influence go when austerity sets in? A study of the redistribution of influence on who gets what, when and how when the economy gets tighter. 2014. Afhandling præsenteret på XXIII (23.) Nordiske Kommuneforskningskonference, Odense, Danmark.