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Species-specific traits mediate avian demographic responses under past climate change

  • Ryan R. Germain*
  • , Shaohong Feng
  • , Guangji Chen
  • , Gary R. Graves
  • , Joseph A. Tobias
  • , Carsten Rahbek
  • , Fumin Lei
  • , Jon Fjeldså
  • , Peter A. Hosner
  • , M. Thomas P. Gilbert
  • , Guojie Zhang*
  • , David Nogués-Bravo*
  • *Kontaktforfatter
    • Københavns Universitet
    • Zhejiang University
    • BGI Shenzhen
    • Chinese Academy of Sciences
    • Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History
    • Imperial College London
    • Statens Naturhistoriske Museum
    • Norwegian University of Science and Technology

    Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › peer review

    Abstract

    Anticipating species’ responses to environmental change is a pressing mission in biodiversity conservation. Despite decades of research investigating how climate change may affect population sizes, historical context is lacking, and the traits that mediate demographic sensitivity to changing climate remain elusive. We use whole-genome sequence data to reconstruct the demographic histories of 263 bird species over the past million years and identify networks of interacting morphological and life history traits associated with changes in effective population size (N e) in response to climate warming and cooling. Our results identify direct and indirect effects of key traits representing dispersal, reproduction and survival on long-term demographic responses to climate change, thereby highlighting traits most likely to influence population responses to ongoing climate warming.

    OriginalsprogEngelsk
    TidsskriftNature Ecology and Evolution
    Vol/bind7
    Udgave nummer6
    Sider (fra-til)862-872
    ISSN2397-334X
    DOI
    StatusUdgivet - jun. 2023

    Bibliografisk note

    Funding Information:
    This work was made possible by the generous efforts of field biologists and museum staff who contributed samples to the B10k Project. This work was supported by a National Natural Science Foundation of China grant (nos. 32170626 and 31901214) to S.F., an Independent Research Fund Denmark grant to D.N.-B. and G.Z. (no. 8021-00282B) and grants from the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (no. XDB31020000), International Partnership Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (no. 152453KYSB20170002), Carlsberg Foundation (no. CF16-0663) and Villum Foundation (no. 25900) to G.Z.

    Publisher Copyright:
    © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.

    Finansiering

    This work was made possible by the generous efforts of field biologists and museum staff who contributed samples to the B10k Project. This work was supported by a National Natural Science Foundation of China grant (nos. 32170626 and 31901214) to S.F., an Independent Research Fund Denmark grant to D.N.-B. and G.Z. (no. 8021-00282B) and grants from the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (no. XDB31020000), International Partnership Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (no. 152453KYSB20170002), Carlsberg Foundation (no. CF16-0663) and Villum Foundation (no. 25900) to G.Z.

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