Renormalisation Group approach to pandemics as a time-dependent SIR model

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Abstract

We generalise the epidemic Renormalization Group framework while connecting it to a SIR model with time-dependent coefficients. We then confront the model with COVID-19 in Denmark, Germany, Italy and France and show that the approach works rather well in reproducing the data. We also show that a better understanding of the time dependence of the recovery rate would require extending the model to take into account the number of deaths whenever these are over 15% of the cumulative number of infected cases.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
Artikelnummer591876
TidsskriftFrontiers in Physics
Vol/bind8
ISSN2296-424X
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 2021

Bibliografisk note

Publisher Copyright:
© Copyright © 2021 Della Morte and Sannino.

Copyright:
Copyright 2021 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

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