TY - JOUR
T1 - Rain, growth and civil war
T2 - the importance of location
AU - Jensen, Peter Sandholt
AU - Skrede Gleditsch, Kristian
PY - 2009/10/1
Y1 - 2009/10/1
N2 - We re-examine the Miguel et al. (2004) study of the impact of growth on civil war, using growth in rainfall as an instrument. Miguel et al. (2004) – in our view, erroneously – include countries participating in civil wars in other states. Restricting the conflict data to states with conflict on their own territory reduces the estimated impact of economic growth on civil war. We show how spatial correlations in rainfall growth and participation in civil conflicts induce a stronger apparent relationship in the mis-classified data.
AB - We re-examine the Miguel et al. (2004) study of the impact of growth on civil war, using growth in rainfall as an instrument. Miguel et al. (2004) – in our view, erroneously – include countries participating in civil wars in other states. Restricting the conflict data to states with conflict on their own territory reduces the estimated impact of economic growth on civil war. We show how spatial correlations in rainfall growth and participation in civil conflicts induce a stronger apparent relationship in the mis-classified data.
U2 - 10.1080/10242690902868277
DO - 10.1080/10242690902868277
M3 - Journal article
SN - 1024-2694
VL - 20
SP - 359
EP - 372
JO - Defence and Peace Economics
JF - Defence and Peace Economics
IS - 5
ER -