Improved Local Weather Forecasts Using Artificial Neural Networks

Morten Gill Wollsen, Bo Nørregaard Jørgensen

Publikation: Kapitel i bog/rapport/konference-proceedingKonferencebidrag i proceedingsForskningpeer review

Abstrakt

Solar irradiance and temperature forecasts are used in many different control systems. Such as intelligent climate control systems in commercial greenhouses, where the solar irradiance affects the use of supplemental lighting. This paper proposes a novel method to predict the forthcoming weather using an artificial neural network. The neural network used is a NARX network, which is known to model non-linear systems well. The predictions are compared to both a design reference year as well as commercial weather forecasts based upon numerical modelling. The results presented in this paper show that the network outperforms the commercial forecast for lower step aheads (< 5). For larger step aheads the network’s performance is in the range of the commercial forecast. However, the neural network approach is fast, fairly precise and allows for further expansion with higher resolution.
OriginalsprogEngelsk
TitelProceeding of the 12th International Conference on Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence
RedaktørerSigeru Omatu, Qutaibah M. Malluhi, Sara Rodríguez Gonzalez, Grzegorz Bocewicz, Edgardo Bucciarelli, Gianfranco Giulioni, Farkhund Iqba
ForlagSpringer
Publikationsdato3. jun. 2015
Sider75-86
ISBN (Trykt)978-3-319-19637-4
ISBN (Elektronisk)978-3-319-19638-1
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 3. jun. 2015
Begivenhed12th International Symposium on Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence - University of Salamanca, Spanien
Varighed: 3. jun. 20155. jun. 2015
Konferencens nummer: DCAI

Konference

Konference12th International Symposium on Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence
NummerDCAI
LokationUniversity of Salamanca
LandSpanien
Periode03/06/201505/06/2015
NavnAdvances in Intelligent Systems and Computing
Vol/bind373
ISSN2194-5357

Citationsformater

Wollsen, M. G., & Jørgensen, B. N. (2015). Improved Local Weather Forecasts Using Artificial Neural Networks. I S. Omatu, Q. M. Malluhi, S. R. Gonzalez, G. Bocewicz, E. Bucciarelli, G. Giulioni, & F. Iqba (red.), Proceeding of the 12th International Conference on Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence (s. 75-86). Springer. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, Bind. 373 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-19638-1_9