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A competing risk survival analysis of the impacts of team formation on goals in professional football

  • Sebastian Le Coz
  • , Loic Iapteff
  • , Maxime Rioland
  • , Titouan Houde
  • , Christopher Carling
  • , Frank Imbach*
  • *Kontaktforfatter
  • Seenovate
  • Université de Lyon
  • Institut national du sport, de l'expertise et de la performance (INSEP)
  • University of Montpellier

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › peer review

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: This study investigated the influence of team formation on goal-scoring efficiency through analysing the time required for a goal to be scored in elite football matches.

METHOD: The analysis was conducted using a comprehensive open access dataset encompassing eight major football competitions, including prestigious events such as the World Cup and the UEFA Champions League. It notably focused on the competing risks framework and employed the Fine and Gray model to account for the interplay between two competing events: team A scoring and team B scoring.

RESULTS: Through analysis of Team A's goal occurrences, we assessed the offensive capabilities of its formation and the defensive effectiveness of Team B's composition in relation to the time it took for Team A to score a goal. Findings revealed that teams employing the 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1 formations outperformed other formations (3-4-3, 3-5-2, 4-4-2, 4-5-1, 5-3-2, 5-4-1) regarding goal-scoring efficiency.

DISCUSSION: By shedding light on the impact of team formation on goal scoring, this research contributes to a deeper understanding of some of the successful strategic aspects of elite football.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
Artikelnummer1323930
TidsskriftFrontiers in Sports and Active Living
Vol/bind6
Antal sider9
ISSN2624-9367
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 2024
Udgivet eksterntJa

Finansiering

The authors declare financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. The research was founded by the company Seenovate.

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