James Oeppen

M.A.

  • J.B. Winsløws Vej 9 B, st. tv.

    5000 Odense C

    Danmark

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Personlig profil

Forskningsområde

Forecasting Mortality by Cause of Death

Forecasting mortality is a difficult problem that is undertaken by many international, government, and financial institutions. It would be useful to disaggregate these forecasts by cause of death because that would allow policy makers to identify target areas for future reductions in mortality. In addition, the ultimate cause of death may be a good guide to the period of ill health that precedes most deaths and help to indicate its cost to society. At the moment, very few institutions try to forecast mortality by cause of death because of the technical difficulties.  

One of the reasons it is more difficult is that even though the average age at death is generally rising, each person must die, so if the forecast suggests that a cause will become less important in the future, one or more of the other causes has to absorb extra deaths and not necessarily at the same age.

A second problem arises because we would like the sum of the forecasts for each cause to match the existing forecasts that do not separate the causes of death. This project undertakes basic research to explore new statistical methods that are explicitly designed to address these problems.

Fingeraftryk Fingeraftryk er baseret på at anvende teksten fra personernes videnskabelige dokumenter til at skabe et indeks med vægtede emneordskoncepter, som definerer de vigtigste emner for hver enkelt forsker.

  • 14 Lignende profiler

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Publikationer

  • 16 Konferenceabstrakt til konference
  • 10 Tidsskriftartikel
  • 1 Kapitel i bog

Longevity forecasting by socio-economic groups using compositional data analysis

Kjærgaard, S., Ergemen, Y. E., Bergeron-Boucher, M. P., Oeppen, J. & Kallestrup-Lamb, M., 1. jun. 2020, I : Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Statistics in Society). 183, 3, s. 1167-1187

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftTidsskriftartikelForskningpeer review

  • The Health Transition in the Nordic Countries

    Torres, C. & Oeppen, J., 2020, (Afsendt) I : Unknown.

    Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftTidsskriftartikelForskning

    Forecasting causes of death by using compositional data analysis: the case of cancer deaths

    Kjærgaard, S., Ergemen, Y. E., Kallestrup-Lamb, M., Oeppen, J. & Lindahl-Jacobsen, R., 13. jun. 2019, I : Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics). 68, 5, s. 1351-1370

    Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftTidsskriftartikelForskningpeer review

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    The contribution of urbanization to changes in life expectancy in Scotland, 1861–1910

    Torres, C., Canudas-Romo, V. & Oeppen, J., 2019, I : Population Studies. 73, 3, s. 387-404

    Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftTidsskriftartikelForskningpeer review

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  • 194 Downloads (Pure)

    The impact of the choice of life table statistics when forecasting mortality

    Bergeron Boucher, M-P., Kjærgaard, S., Oeppen, J. & Vaupel, J. W., 14. nov. 2019, I : Demographic Research. 41, s. 1235-1268 43.

    Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftTidsskriftartikelForskningpeer review

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  • 82 Downloads (Pure)

    Aktiviteter

    Is there a universal pattern of mortality decline?

    Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher (Oplægsholder), James Oeppen (Andet) & Søren Kjærgaard (Andet)

    jun. 2018

    Aktivitet: Foredrag og mundtlige bidragKonferenceoplæg

    Decomposing the differences in cancer mortality

    Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher (Oplægsholder), Maarten Jan Wensink (Andet), Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen (Andet), James Oeppen (Underviser) & Silvia Rizzi (Andet)

    apr. 2018

    Aktivitet: Foredrag og mundtlige bidragKonferenceoplæg

    A Compositional Approach to Distributing Forecasts of Fertility by Birth Order

    James Oeppen (Underviser)

    14. feb. 201816. feb. 2018

    Aktivitet: Foredrag og mundtlige bidragForedrag og præsentationer i privat eller offentlig virksomhed

    Forecasting Mortality by Cause of Death

    James Oeppen (Underviser)

    24. okt. 2017

    Aktivitet: Foredrag og mundtlige bidragGæsteforelæsning, undervisning og kursusvirksomhed ved andre universiteter

    Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research 21st Anniversary

    James Oeppen (Deltager)

    18. okt. 201720. okt. 2017

    Aktivitet: Deltagelse i faglig begivenhedOrganisering af eller deltagelse i workshop, kursus, seminar eller lignende

    Projekter

    Undervisning og vejledning